A Natural Experiment on Electoral Law Reform - Evaluating the Long Run Consequences of 1990s Electoral Reform in Italy and Japan

von: Daniela Giannetti, Bernard Grofman

Springer-Verlag, 2011

ISBN: 9781441972286 , 162 Seiten

Format: PDF

Kopierschutz: Wasserzeichen

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A Natural Experiment on Electoral Law Reform - Evaluating the Long Run Consequences of 1990s Electoral Reform in Italy and Japan


 

Acknowledgments

6

Contents

8

Chapter 1: Introduction: Long-Run Consequences of Electoral Rules Change: Comparing Italy and Japan

12

Origins of Electoral Reform in Italy and Japan

13

Italy (1947–1993)

14

Japan (1947–1994)

15

Continuing the Process of Reform?

16

Changes in the Electoral Rules in Italy and Japan

16

Electoral Reform in Italy, 1993

16

Electoral Reform in Italy, 2005

17

Electoral Reform in Japan, 1994

18

Expected Impact and Actual Consequences of Electoral System Change in Italy and Japan

19

Overview of the Chapters

21

Sec11_1

12

Chapter 2: Party Competition Under New Electoral Rules in Italy and Japan, 1994–2009

24

Introduction

24

Outlining Electoral System Changes in Italy and Japan

25

Comparing the 1993 and 2005 Electoral Reforms in Italy

25

Electoral System Choice

25

Preelectoral Coalitions Under the 1993 and 2005 Electoral Laws

27

Differences in Rules for Electing the Chamber and the Senate

27

The 1994 Electoral Reform in Japan

28

Party Competition Under the New Electoral Rules in Italy and Japan

29

Formation of Preelectoral Coalitions in Italy

30

Strategic Adjustments by Japanese Parties and Formation of Post-electoral Coalitions

33

Electoral Outcomes and Government Formation in Italy and Japan, 1994–2009

35

Five Italian Elections (1994–2008): Bipolarism, Party System Fragmentation, and Alternating Governments

35

Five Japanese Elections (1996–2009): Steps Toward Bipartisanship

38

Concluding Remarks: Similarities and Differences

43

Sec15_2

25

Chapter 3: The Changing Bases of Party Support in Italy and Japan: Similarities and Differences

44

Introduction

44

Change in Party Dominance

45

The DC Party in Italy: From Dominance to Dissolution

45

The LDP Party in Japan: From Dominance to Historical Defeat

48

Change in Sociodemographic Support Base of the Parties

49

Italy: Change in Structural Bases of Electoral Support for the Parties

50

Japan: Change in Structural Bases of Electoral Supportfor the Parties

52

Change in Geographic Support Base of the Parties

55

Political Regions in Italy

55

Urban Versus Rural Areas in Japan

58

Change in the Ideological Structure of Party Competition

60

The Policy Space in Italy

60

The Policy Space in Japan

64

Conclusion

67

Sec15_3

60

Chapter 4: Nominating Candidates Under New Rules in Italy and Japan: You Cannot Bargain with Resources You Do Not Have

69

Introduction

69

SMD Nominations in Italy

70

SMD Nominations in Japan

73

Mobile Italian Candidates, Immobile Japanese Candidates

76

Was the Devil in the Details or in the Context?

78

Details That Might Contain a Devil

79

Electoral Systems, Political Context, and History

83

Chapter 5: Electoral Reform and Factional Politics in Italy and Japan

84

Introduction

84

From Factions to Parties: Electoral Reform and the Birth of Post-DC Parties in Italy

85

Post-DC Parties and Electoral Competition

87

Post-DC Parties in Government

90

Post-DC Parties Today

92

Japanese Electoral Reform and the Fate of LDP Factions

93

Leadership Selection: Choosing the LDP President

94

Cabinet Appointments

95

Factional Affiliation Decisions

97

LDP Factions Today

97

Conclusion

100

Chapter 6: Electoral Reform in Italy and Japan: Unanticipated Outcomes?

104

Introduction

104

Popular Discontent with the Previous Systems

105

Reform

106

What Happened After Reform?

107

Why the “Unanticipated” Outcomes?

109

Treating as “Proximal” Effects Dependent Variables that Are “Distal” Effects of Electoral Rules

109

The Reform Process

114

Insufficient Attention to Less-High-Profile Rules

115

Electoral Systems Are Not Sufficient Explanation

115

Competitive Context

117

Conclusion

119

Appendix A: Electoral Rules

121

Appendix B: Votes and Seats

127

Appendix C: Italian and Japanese Governments

141

Appendix D: Party Acronyms

145

Appendix E: Glossary of Electoral System Terms

147

About the Editors

154

About the Authors

155

References

157

Author Index

164

Subject Index

167